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What’ Going On In Africa?

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“Aug 30 (Reuters) – A group of senior military officers in Gabon announced on national television on Wednesday they had taken power and election results were annulled, just minutes after President Ali Bongo was declared to have won a third term. If successful, the coup would represent the eighth since 2020 in West and Central Africa–a region that in the last decade had made strides to shed its reputation as a “coup belt, only for persistent insecurity and corruption to open the door to military leaders.”

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/recent-coups- west-central-africa-2023-08-30/

What is going on in our motherland, why is there so much instability, and why have so many coups occurred during the past three years? Is there something in the air, or are there underlying forces fomenting these coups? Since 2020, there have been numerous coups. Here is a list of the successful coups since 2020: Mali 2020, Guinea 2020, Sudan 2021, Chad 2021, Burkino Faso 2022, Niger 2023 and Gabon 2023. There have been failed coup attempts in Gambia, Guinea Bissau, Sao Tome and Principe in recent years.

In addition to these coups, there are ongoing regional wars and internal conflicts occurring throughout Africa, “Africa comes second in the number of armed conflicts per region with more than 35 non-international armed conflicts (NIACs) taking place in Burkina, Faso, Cameroon, the Central African Republic (CAR), the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Mali, Mozambique, Nigeria, Senegal, Somalia, South Sudan, and Sudan. Several armed groups – fighting against government forces and/or against each other – are involved in these conflicts. Western powers and/or neighboring countries are intervening in the NIACs that take place in Burkina, Faso, Mali, Mozambique, Nigeria, and Somalia.”

https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis/online- analysis//2022/11/acs-2022-sub-saharan-africa

The recent spate of coups in Africa differs from the previous coups in past decades. Here is how the new waves of destabilization differ from past coups, “There have been nine attempted or successful coups d’état in Africa since 2020. A stereotypical coup d’état involves the most senior members of the military (i.e., generals) overthrowing the government in a short–but potentially violent incident that causes mass panic in the population. The most recent coups in Africa differ in some key aspects from the coups that were seen on the continent in the past, especially during the immediate post-independence period. What are these differences, and what do they mean for democracy? It seems that a new model of coup is being established, which differs in key ways compared to what has gone before. Coup leaders have been slightly younger, the coups have been less violent, and in some cases, they have occurred (with popular support) against a background of political stagnation and intense security challenges. The type of foreign involvement in these coups also appears to be changing (but this is more difficult to confirm). The age of the coup leaders has been a remarkably consistent element of these most recent coups. With the exception of Sudan, the coup leaders have ranged in age from 34 to 41. They have also been lower in rank than most coup leaders (and have come mostly from special forces units), including two colonels, a lieutenant colonel, and a captain. This growing dynamic is certainly not completely unprecedented: Jerry Rawlings was a 31-year-old flight lieutenant when ,…

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